One of the largest factors in being successful with money is the ability to manage debt. In modern America, we have become accustomed to taking on ever-higher levels of debt. This substantial growth in household debt is a major issue for both individuals and society as a whole. The growing burden of debt The key … Continue reading Funding consumption with debt
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Under-performance of value investing
One of the best-established 'anomalies' in investing is the value premium. Over long periods of time, value stocks have substantially out-performed growth stocks. Over the last decade or so, however, growth has trounced value. On the other hand, even over the last twenty years, value investors have been well-rewarded. Blackrock's Dr. David Ang provides a … Continue reading Under-performance of value investing
Options-based market outlook for the rest of 2019
As readers of my posts on Seeking Alpha will be aware, I apply a quantitative model to options prices on index ETFs to derive market outlooks. Options prices represent bets as to the probabilities that a security will rise or fall by some amount over a specific period of time. By taking the market prices … Continue reading Options-based market outlook for the rest of 2019
Fixing U.S. retirement plans
There are many experts who believe that the current paradigm for retirement plans is so flawed that we should scrap it and try something radically different. Dr. Teresa Ghilarducci is one leading voice in this area, for example. The data suggesting that we need a change are compelling. Only about 50% of workers have an … Continue reading Fixing U.S. retirement plans
Public policy and student debt
The United States has a growing problem with student debt. The total of all outstanding student loans is now above $1.5 Trillion. Politicians and others have proposed solutions to managing educational debt, but there is too little discussion of the practicalities. There is no question that we have a major problem and that many young … Continue reading Public policy and student debt
The looming public pension crisis
There are many issues that we, as a society, are tending to ignore even as they become more severe. One of these is the under-funding of pensions. Around the U.S., the remaining public pension plans have far less in assets than they need. Cook County Illinois, where Chicago is located, is the home of quite … Continue reading The looming public pension crisis
Your career may be shorter than you think
One of the ways that people rationalize the decision to delay saving for retirement is planning to retire at an older age, if at all. That's a sensible aspiration, but many people will lose their jobs in their fifties and will never again come close to their previous incomes, even if they do find full-time … Continue reading Your career may be shorter than you think
Emerging features of work
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) calculated that the self-employed comprised about sixteen percent of the American workforce in 2015, up from 10% in 2005. Morgan Stanley estimates that as many as 35% of American workers are self-employed. Deloitte reports that 27% of Millennials are self employed and 54% have either started their own … Continue reading Emerging features of work
Key economic issues in the 2020 presidential election and beyond
As the candidates get going for 2020, there are a number of important themes that need to be discussed in this campaign and, indeed, that will remain significant for the foreseeable future. Three of these crucial concerns are: HealthcareCollege costs and debtRetirement savings These are the 'big 3' items for which people need substantial savings. … Continue reading Key economic issues in the 2020 presidential election and beyond