A study published in a medical journal concludes that there is a significant correlation between COVID vaccine hesitancy and the probability that someone will be in a serious car accident. Specifically, unvaccinated people had a 72% higher probability of being involved in a crash. Even after correcting for "age, sex, home location, socioeconomic status, and … Continue reading Vaccine Resistance And Car Accidents
Investing Lessons From 2022
After reaching new highs in 2021, with the S&P 500 (SPY) returning almost 29% and the NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) returning about 27.5%, the market turned in 2022. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 are down 13.2% and 25.8%, respectively, so far in 2022. Much of what has happened in 2022 is a reminder of the … Continue reading Investing Lessons From 2022
Planning for Income in Retirement
One of the most important parts of retirement planning is figuring out how much income you are going to need and how much wealth is required to sustain that income. A common rule of thumb is that you will need about 70%-80% of your pre-retirement income to maintain your lifestyle after you stop working. This … Continue reading Planning for Income in Retirement
Making Choices About Higher Education
For many individuals and their families, the choice of a college and major are among the most significant economic decisions they will ever make. I have read a wide range of research on this issue and I have put two kids through college, as well as having spent more than my fair share of time … Continue reading Making Choices About Higher Education
Is Early Retirement a Mistake?
Laurence Kotlikoff, an economist and writer I admire, recently published an article on CNBC titled A Harvard-trained economist says ‘early retirement is one of the worst money mistakes’—here’s why you’ll ‘regret’ it. While the title is intended to be provocative (aka click bait), the article is well-written and sensible--as Dr. Kotlikoff can be counted on … Continue reading Is Early Retirement a Mistake?
The Great Resignation
I have followed news of the surge in the number of people quitting their jobs, aka The Great Resignation, with considerable interest. The number of people quitting their jobs reached 4.5 million in November, an all-time record. The labor force participation rate had its largest 12-month drop on record for 2020 and remains well below … Continue reading The Great Resignation
Are the top 10% the real problem in society?
The very wealthy have been increasingly vilified, and there are legitimate concerns that the United States is heading towards being an oligarchy. An interesting part of the discussion of inequality suggests that the larger problem is the top 10% or top 20%, rather than the uber wealthy (the top 1% or so). Two authors who … Continue reading Are the top 10% the real problem in society?
If you like Cathie Wood, you’d have loved Bruce Berkowitz
I, like many other investors, have followed Cathie Wood's incredible performance with a mix of awe and envy. Her flagship fund, Ark Innovation ETF, returned a stunning 150% in 2020 and the fund's 5-year annualized return is an equally notable 44.9% per year. With the 0.75% expense ratio and almost $19.5 Billion in this fund … Continue reading If you like Cathie Wood, you’d have loved Bruce Berkowitz
How index investing may be killing the low-beta advantage
A number of years ago, I researched low-beta stocks and I was convinced that low-beta stocks increased portfolio risk-adjusted returns. A number of different researchers and portfolio managers also concluded that low-beta stocks boosted portfolio performance. See here and here for examples. There were several theories about why low-beta stocks outperformed higher-beta stocks. One theory … Continue reading How index investing may be killing the low-beta advantage
Tax considerations when using cryptocurrency to pay for things
For all of excitement around the idea that cryptocurrencies will replace traditional government-issued money, there is an interesting potential roadblock: capital gains taxes. If you buy lunch using dollars, the only taxes you incur are sales taxes. If you buy that same lunch using cryptocurrency, you will also owe taxes on any capital gains on … Continue reading Tax considerations when using cryptocurrency to pay for things